MetaScan 4 – The Future of Asia: Implications for Canada

PDF: MetaScan 4 – The Future of Asia: Implications for Canada

In this report

Executive Summary
Insights about Change in Asia
Scenarios: Four Plausible Futures for Asia in 2030
The Expected Future: Commonly held Assumptions about the Future of Asia
Policy Challenges and Opportunities for Canada
Conclusion: Credible Assumptions
Appendix 1: Horizons Foresight Method
Appendix 2: Glossary of Key Terms

Acknowledgement

This foresight study, the Future of Asia, is based on a collaborative process led by Policy Horizons Canada (Horizons) and involved participants from over 20 departments and agencies across the federal public service of Canada, including: Aboriginal Affairs and Northern Development Canada, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Canada Border Services Agency, Canada Revenue Agency, Canadian Heritage, Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission, Canadian Polar Commission, Citizenship and Immigration Canada, Department of National Defence, Employment and Social Development Canada, Environment Canada, Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Foreign Affairs, Trade and Development Canada, Health Canada, Industry Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Privy Council Office, Public Safety Canada, Statistics Canada, Transport Canada, and the Treasury Board Secretariat.

Horizons would like to thank the participants for the insight, expertise and engagement they brought to the process. Participants included: Amal Ahmed, Rupert Allen, Robert Apro, Rodrigo Arancibia, Phillip Baines, Ramona Baksh, Erik Bjornson, Jean-François Born, Eric Boulay, Jennifer Cameron, Neil Chuka, Jason Churchill, Daniel Cowan, Maude Couture Naud, John Cuddihy, Nina Damsbaek, Tanya Dare, Jay Dixon, Brock Dumville, Angelina Ermakov, Kathryn Fournier, Erin Gee, Tomasz Gluszynski, Holly Grinvalds, Deepika Grover, Timothy Hodges, Stacey Holmes, Natasha Joukovskaia, Rahil Khan, Robin Kipping, Rowena Ko, Rosita Kwok, Jean-Philippe Lacasse, Mackenzie Larwill, Lorrie Leblanc, Bradley Little, May Luong, Sebastien Malherbe, Derry McDonell, Marc Meloche, Alexandre-Etienne Michon, Katherine Monahan, Tanya Neima, Bernard Nguyen, Dennis Orbay, Adam Paulsen, Matias Plotkin, Amber Potts, John Rietschlin, Martin Roy, Camille Ruest, Oliver Rusch, Toby Schwartz, Titus Tao, Philip Tomlinson, Anna Vanderkamp, Tracey Wait, Thomas Woods, John Young, Li Yu, Irene Zhou, and Yang Zou.

Horizons would also like to thank the following external experts who contributed to the studies by being interviewed, providing comments, or submitting written materials. While these contributions were invaluable, the ideas presented in this study do not necessarily reflect the views of these experts. External experts included: Solly Angel (NYU Stern Urbanization Project), Tyler Chamberlin (Carleton University), Kriengsak Chareonwongsak (Former Senior Fellow at Harvard Kennedy School), Pramit Pal Chaudhuri (Rhodium Group), Mike Douglass (National University of Singapore), Mark Graham (Oxford Internet Institute, University of Oxford), Saif Haq (Texas Tech University), Andy Hines (University of Houston), Sohail Inayatullah (Graduate Institute of Futures Studies, Tamkang University), Brian L. Job (University of British Columbia), Ayesha Khanna (The Academy), Marc Lavoie (University of Ottawa), Kishore Mahbudani (Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, National University of Singapore), Irene Mandl (European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions), Aaron Maniam (National University of Singapore), Jonathan Miller (Canada Border Service Agency), Jason Q. Ng (University of Toronto), Joergen Oerstroem Moeller (Institute of Southeast Asian Studies in Singapore), Andrew Robinson (Information Systems Architects), Nicholas Rowe (Carleton University), Wendy L. Schultz (Infinite Futures), Michael Small (Centre for Dialogue, Simon Fraser University), James Stewart (University of Edinburgh), Clay Stranger (Office of the Chief Scientist at Rocky Mountain Institute), Ralph Torrie (Torrie Smith Associates), Douglas Webster (Stanford University).

Finally, Horizons staff contributed to this study in a number of ways, including leadership, facilitation, research, drafting, and design. They are: Katherine Antal, Imran Arshad, Marcus Ballinger, Martin Berry, Stefanie Bowles, Duncan Cass-Beggs, Don Charboneau, Steffen Christensen, Paul De Civita, Pierre-Olivier DesMarchais, Colin Dobson, Grant Duckworth, Louis-Philippe Gascon, Nicola Gaye, John Giraldez, Roxanne Hamel, Jean Kunz, Kelly Ann Lambe, Eliza Lavoie, Brigitte Lemay, Andrew MacDonald, Marissa Martin, Ron Memmel, Claudia Meneses, Alexander Newman, Peter Padbury, Dana Pément, Rhiannen Putt, Peter Reinecke, Nicole Ritzer, Julie Saumure, Naomi Stack, Élisabeth Vu, Nancy White, and Alex Wilner.